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Lehrende: Prof. Dr. Heribert Dieter
Veranstaltungsart:
Seminar
Orga-Einheit: Politics, Administration & International Relations
Anzeige im Stundenplan:
Ausgewählte Themen I
Semesterwochenstunden:
3
Credits:
6,0
Hinweis: In Ihrer Prüfungsordnung können abweichende Credits festgelegt sein.
Standort:
Campus der Zeppelin Universität
Unterrichtssprache:
Englisch
Min. | Max. Teilnehmerzahl:
10 | 35
Prioritätsschema: Standard-Priorisierung
Inhalte:
For decades, Western observers assumed that China will eventually become an open, democratic society. Furthermore, many policy makers expected that China will eventually depart from its mercantilist approach in both trade and investment policies. The increasingly assertive, if not aggressive foreign policy of China has made it very clear that China is different and will remain different. The West “got China wrong” (The Economist, March 2018). Today, the rise of China is seen with skepticism in many OECD-countries.
Against this background, the future of international relations, including trade and investment flows, will very much depend on policies of both developed as well as developing countries towards China. Some of the questions to be discussed in the seminar will be:
· What did Western governments expect from a rising China?
· Is the Chinese government eager to decouple? Will a new economic iron curtain emerge?
· How robust is the Chinese economy? Has credit in China spiraled out of control?
· What are the effects of China’s “Belt and Road Initiative”? Is China becoming the region’s banker – and is Beijing willing exercise its rights?
· China and India – Will New-Delhi join the new alliance of liberal democracies against China?
· The increasing influence of China: Beijing’s “sharp power” and its effects on affected countries
· The asymmetric investment policies of China: Will the West have to develop restrictions on Chinese foreign direct investment?
· Are the increasingly authoritarian policies of the Chinese Communist Party a sign of strength or of weakness? What are the instruments of internal control?
· Have Chinese takeovers – for instance of robot maker Kuka – resulted in the ability to gain strategic knowledge of production processes in OECD-countries?
· Is China contributing to the development of poorer countries or is it exploiting them in a neo-colonial fashion?
· What are the potential responses of liberal democracies to the rise of autocratic regimes in both China and Russia? Is a new group – the D 10 – likely to emerge?
Lernziele:
Participants will evaluate the complex foreign and foreign economic policy of China and the effects of those policies on other countries. In order to achieve that goal, the dynamics of today's Chinese soiety and economy will be analyzed.
Weitere Informationen zu den Prüfungsleistungen:
The course will be taught in English. Thus, fluency in English is essential.
Each participant will have to make a presentation in the seminar (30 minutes) and participate actively in the debate.
The second component is an essay of 3.500 words (in English or German).
Composition of assessment: Presentation and essay 50% each.
The essential reading will be made available on Ilias.
Literatur:
References:
Abi-Habib, Maria (2018): In Hock to China, Sri Lanka Gave Up Territory. The New York Times, 26 June 2018, p. 1.
Ang, Yuen, Yuen (2018): Autocracy With Chinese Characteristics. Beijing’s Behind-the-Scenes Reforms. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 3, pp. 39-46.
Autor, David H.; Dorn, David; Hanson, Gordon H. (2016): The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade. National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 21906, January 2016.
Beeson, Mark; Li, Fujian (2015): What consensus? Geopolitics and policy paradigms in China and the United States. International Affairs, Vol 91, No. 1, pp 93-109.
Chellaney, Brahma (2017): China’s Creditor Imperialism. Project Syndicate, 20 December 2017, available at https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-sri-lanka-hambantota-port-debt-by-brahma-chellaney-2017-12?barrier=accesspaylog
Chen, Sally; Kang, Joong Shik (2018): Credit Booms - Is China Different? IMF Working Paper WP 18/2, January 2018, available at https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/ Issues/2018/01/05/Credit-Booms-Is-China-Different-45537
Economy, Elisabeth C. (2018): China’s New Revolution. The reign of Xi Jinping. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 3, pp. 60-74.
Ehlers, Torsten; Kong, Steven; Zhu, Feng (2018): Mapping shadow banking in China: structure and dynamics. Bank for International Settlements, Working Paper 701, February 2018, available at https://www.bis.org/publ/work701.pdf
Eichengreen, Barry (2008): Globalizing Capital. A History of the International Financial System. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press 2008.
Feigenbaum, Evan A. (2017): China and the World. Dealing with a Reluctant Power. Foreign Affairs, January/February 2017, pp. 33-40, available at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2016-12-12/china-and-world.
Garnaut, John (2018): How China Interferes in Australia. And How Democracies Can Push Back. Foreign Affairs, 9 March 2018, available at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ articles/china/2018-03-09/how-china-interferes-australia
Hurley, John; Morris, Scott; Portelance, Gailyn (2018): Examining the Debt Implications of the Belt and Road Initiative from a Policy Perspective. Center for Global Development, Policy Paper 121, March 2018, available at https://www.cgdev.org/ sites/default/files/examining-debt-implications-belt-and-road-initiative-policy-perspective.pdf
Ikenberry, John G. (2008): The Rise of China and the Future of the West. Can the Liberal System Survive? Foreign Affairs, Vol. 87, No. 1, pp. 23-37.
Ikenberry, G. John (2014): The Illusion of Geopolitics. The Enduring Power of the Liberal Order. Foreign Affairs, May/June 2014, pp. 80-90.
Kostka, Genia (2018): China’s Social Credit Systems and Public Opinion: Explaining High Levels of Approval, available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3215138
Layne, Christopher (2018): The US-Chinese power shift and the end of the Pax Americana. International Affairs, Vol 94, No. 1, pp. 89-111.
Lind, Jennifer (2018): Life in China’s Asia. What Regional Hegemony Would Look Like. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, No. 2, pp. 71-82.
Mead, Walter Russel (2014): The Return of Geopolitics. The Revenge of the Revisionist Powers. Foreign Affairs, May/June 2014, pp. 69-79.
OECD (2015): Economic Surveys: China. Paris: OECD.
Ravenhill, John (2016): The Political Economy of an ‘‘Asian’’ Mega-FTA. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership. Asian Survey, Vol. 56, Number 6, pp. 1077–1100.
Shambaugh, David (2005): China engages Asia. Reshaping the Regional Order. International Security, Vol. 29, No. 3 (Winter 2004/2005), pp. 64-99.
Shambaugh, David (2014): China at the Crossroads: Ten Major Reform Challenges. The Brookings Institution, October 2014.
Song, Zheng Michael; Xiong, Wei (2018): Risks in China’s Financial System. NBER Working Paper 24230, January 2018, available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w24230
Yamada, Go; Palma, Stefania (2018): Is China’s Belt and Road working? A progress report from eight countries, Financial Times, 1 April 2018.
Zhiwu, Chen (2015): China’s Dangerous Debt. Why the Economy could be headed for Trouble, Foreign Affairs, 94. Jg., Nr. 3 (May/June 2015), pp. 13-18.
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